scenario 3, about a 30% chance in between new york city and atlantic city. now we have winds of 20-40 miles an hour. up the rainfall a little bit too. 1-3 inches. so even though it comes this far north, 1-3 inches of rain is possible in the metro area. that's good enough for flooding. and of course scenario 4 which is the worst possible track would be right over across the northern bay into northern maryland. now we have rain 2-8 inches. the only track worse than this would be a track about 100 miles further south of the metro area, south of town out towards winchester. scenario four is no picnic. look how big the storm is. the wind field is 300 miles. it's so big. tropical storm force winds sunday evening will be buffetting the hatteras and also the outer banks and then by monday at 7:00 p.m., we're going to have tropical storm force winds. and now we see just now making left turn, big winds. anywhere from 58-73-mile an hour winds will be buffetting ocean city, bethany and points north. so we'll keep you posted on this. we're going to come back and talk abo